Sunday, June 28, 2026

World Cup Predictio 2026: Group Stage Round 2

Greetings amigos,

Mr Stewart-Jones' quest to complete a clean sweep of both domestic and international trophies continues at pace - SJ top-scored in round 2 with 26 points to lay a marker down in the tournament. The fact he doesn't find himself top of the overall standings underlines how good a start Mr O'Callaghan has made - Adam scored impressively again, adding 24 points to his tally to top the table by 1 point. Elsewhere Mr West well and truly got his tournament going scoring 25 points, whilst Mr Luke (22) and Mr Raistrick (20) can also be very happy with their respective returns. Mr Moore fell off his early pace as he scored 18 points, whilst I was a point back on 17, Mr McClay scored 14 and Mr Crinnion 13.

Any mistakes let me (and the PredictioBot) know, 3rd round of group games get underway this evening.

Here are the latest musings of the P-Bot:

Win probability

Adam (28%), SJ (24%), Phil (15%), Theo W (11%), Theo L (8%), Ben (5%), Nick (4%), Danny (3%), Dave (2%)

Why Adam is favourite

Adam has the profile you want in a long tournament:

  • Leader after two rounds & highest spot-on total (8).
  • Strong in both rounds rather than relying on one exceptional week.
  • Doesn't appear to over-predict goals.
  • Frequently lands on realistic scorelines such as 1-0, 2-0, 1-1 and 2-1.

The biggest predictor of future success is usually exact scores rather than simple outcomes, and Adam currently leads that category.

His profile suggests he is likely to continue accumulating points steadily rather than suffering boom-and-bust swings.


Why SJ is almost level

SJ is only one point behind and has seven spot-ons.

The difference between Adam and SJ is stylistic:

  • Adam tends to be conservative.
  • SJ is slightly more aggressive and therefore a little more volatile.

That volatility can be useful over a World Cup because there are enough matches remaining to make up deficits quickly.

If SJ has another round like Round 2 (26 points), he becomes favourite.


Why Phil remains dangerous

Phil is the classic high-variance predictor.

Strengths:

  • Joint highest single-round score so far (26 in Round 1).
  • Willing to predict larger scorelines.
  • Often finds exact scores in high-goal matches, which are worth 5 points.

Weaknesses:

  • Lower spot-on rate overall (4).
  • Can have rounds where ambitious predictions produce lots of zeros.

If Phil wins, it'll probably be because he hits a cluster of 4-0s, 3-1s and 5-0s during the knockouts.


Dark Horse: Theo W

If I had to back one player outside the top three, it would be Theo W.

Reasons:

  • Outstanding Round 2 (25 points).
  • Five spot-ons already.
  • Only 8 points off the lead.
  • Mixes conservative and ambitious picks better than most.

Unlike Ben or Nick, Theo W is already close enough that one excellent matchday could put him on top and his trajectory is pointing upward.




Take it easy,

Danny



                 Spot-ons        Points

Adam                8                48
SJ                     7                47
Phil                   4                44
Theo W            5                40
Theo L              5                38
Ben                  4                 34
Nick                  5                31
Danny              2                 30
Dave                2                 28



Ben

A: Czech Rep v S Africa 2-1 1-1 (0pts)
A: Mexico v S Korea 2-1 1-0 (1pt)
B: Switzerland v Bosnia-H 1-0 4-1 (1pt)
B: Canada v Qatar 1-0 6-0 (1pt)
C: Scotland v Morocco 1-2 0-1 (1pt)
C: Brazil v Haiti 6-1 3-0 (1pt)
D: USA v Australia 2-0 2-0 (3pts)
D: Turkey v Paraguay 1-1 0-1 (0pts)
E: Germany v Ivory Coast 2-1 2-1 (3pts)
E: Ecuador v Curacao 3-1 0-0 (0pts)
F: Netherlands v Sweden 2-1 5-1 (1pt)
F: Tunisia v Japan 1-2 0-4 (1pt)
G: Belgium v Iran 3-0 0-0 (0pts)
G: New Zealand v Egypt 0-2 1-3 (1pt)
H: Spain v Saudi Arabia 3-0 4-0 (1pt)
H: Uruguay v Cape Verde 3-0 2-2 (0pts)
I: France v Iraq 4-1 3-0 (1pt)
I: Norway v Senegal 1-1 3-2 (0pts)
J: Argentina v Austria 2-1 2-0 (1pt)
J: Jordan v Algeria 0-1 1-2 (1pt)
K: Portugal v Uzbekistan 3-0 5-0 (1pt)
K: Colombia v Congo DR 2-2 1-0 (0pts)
L: England v Ghana 1-0 0-0 (0pts)
L: Panama v Croatia 0-2 0-1 (1pt)

Total: 2 spot-ons; 20 points.


Theo L

A: Czech Rep v S Africa 1-0 1-1 (0pts)
A: Mexico v S Korea 1-1 1-0 (0pts)
B: Switzerland v Bosnia-H 2-0 4-1 (1pt)
B: Canada v Qatar 3-0 6-0 (1pt)
C: Scotland v Morocco 0-2 0-1 (1pt)
C: Brazil v Haiti 4-0 3-0 (1pt)
D: USA v Australia 2-0 2-0 (3pts)
D: Turkey v Paraguay 2-1 0-1 (0pts)
E: Germany v Ivory Coast 3-0 2-1 (1pt)
E: Ecuador v Curacao 3-0 0-0 (0pts)
F: Netherlands v Sweden 3-0 5-1 (1pt)
F: Tunisia v Japan 0-2 0-4 (1pt)
G: Belgium v Iran 2-1 0-0 (0pts)
G: New Zealand v Egypt 0-1 1-3 (1pt)
H: Spain v Saudi Arabia 3-0 4-0 (1pt)
H: Uruguay v Cape Verde 2-0 2-2 (0pts)
I: France v Iraq 4-0 3-0 (1pt)
I: Norway v Senegal 1-1 3-2 (0pts)
J: Argentina v Austria 2-0 2-0 (3pts)
J: Jordan v Algeria 1-2 1-2 (3pts)
K: Portugal v Uzbekistan 4-0 5-0 (1pt)
K: Colombia v Congo DR 2-0 1-0 (1pt)
L: England v Ghana 3-0 0-0 (0pts)
L: Panama v Croatia 0-2 0-1 (1pt)

Total: 3 spot-ons; 24 points.


Theo W

A: Czech Rep v S Africa 1-1 1-1 (3pts)
A: Mexico v S Korea 2-1 1-0 (1pt)
B: Switzerland v Bosnia-H 2-0 4-1 (1pt)
B: Canada v Qatar 3-1 6-0 (1pt)
C: Scotland v Morocco 0-0 0-1 (0pts)
C: Brazil v Haiti 3-0 3-0 (3pts)
D: USA v Australia 2-2 2-0 (0pts)
D: Turkey v Paraguay 2-1 0-1 (0pts)
E: Germany v Ivory Coast 2-1 2-1 (3pts)
E: Ecuador v Curacao 3-0 0-0 (0pts)
F: Netherlands v Sweden 2-0 5-1 (1pt)
F: Tunisia v Japan 0-2 0-4 (1pt)
G: Belgium v Iran 3-0 0-0 (0pts)
G: New Zealand v Egypt 1-2 1-3 (1pt)
H: Spain v Saudi Arabia 3-0 4-0 (1pt)
H: Uruguay v Cape Verde 3-0 2-2 (0pts)
I: France v Iraq 4-0 3-0 (1pt)
I: Norway v Senegal 2-2 3-2 (0pts)
J: Argentina v Austria 2-0 2-0 (3pts)
J: Jordan v Algeria 0-1 1-2 (1pt)
K: Portugal v Uzbekistan 2-0 5-0 (1pt)
K: Colombia v Congo DR 0-0 1-0 (0pts)
L: England v Ghana 2-0 0-0 (0pts)
L: Panama v Croatia 0-1 0-1 (3pts)

Total: 5 spot-ons; 25 points.


SJ

A: Czech Rep v S Africa 2-0 1-1 (0pts)
A: Mexico v S Korea 1-1 1-0 (0pts)
B: Switzerland v Bosnia-H 2-0 4-1 (1pt)
B: Canada v Qatar 2-0 6-0 (1pt)
C: Scotland v Morocco 0-1 0-1 (3pts)
C: Brazil v Haiti 3-0 3-0 (3pts)
D: USA v Australia 2-1 2-0 (1pt)
D: Turkey v Paraguay 2-0 0-1 (0pts)
E: Germany v Ivory Coast 2-0 2-1 (1pt)
E: Ecuador v Curacao 4-0 0-0 (0pts)
F: Netherlands v Sweden 1-1 5-1 (0pts)
F: Tunisia v Japan 0-2 0-4 (1pt)
G: Belgium v Iran 1-1 0-0 (1pt)
G: New Zealand v Egypt 1-2 1-3 (1pt)
H: Spain v Saudi Arabia 4-0 4-0 (5pts)
H: Uruguay v Cape Verde 3-0 2-2 (0pts)
I: France v Iraq 5-0 3-0 (1pt)
I: Norway v Senegal 2-1 3-2 (1pt)
J: Argentina v Austria 2-0 2-0 (3pts)
J: Jordan v Algeria 1-1 1-2 (0pts)
K: Portugal v Uzbekistan 3-0 5-0 (1pt)
K: Colombia v Congo DR 2-0 1-0 (1pt)
L: England v Ghana 2-1 0-0 (0pts)
L: Panama v Croatia 0-3 0-1 (1pt)

Total: 4 spot-ons; 26 points.


Phil

A: Czech Rep v S Africa VOID
A: Mexico v S Korea 1-3 1-0 (0pts)
B: Switzerland v Bosnia-H VOID
B: Canada v Qatar 3-1 6-0 (1pt)
C: Scotland v Morocco 1-3 0-1 (1pt)
C: Brazil v Haiti 4-1 3-0 (1pt)
D: USA v Australia 3-1 2-0 (1pt)
D: Turkey v Paraguay 1-3 0-1 (1pt)
E: Germany v Ivory Coast 4-1 2-1 (1pt)
E: Ecuador v Curacao 3-2 0-0 (0pts)
F: Netherlands v Sweden 3-1 5-1 (1pt)
F: Tunisia v Japan 1-4 0-4 (1pt)
G: Belgium v Iran 3-1 0-0 (0pts)
G: New Zealand v Egypt 1-3 1-3 (3pts)
H: Spain v Saudi Arabia 3-1 4-0 (1pt)
H: Uruguay v Cape Verde 3-1 2-2 (0pts)
I: France v Iraq 6-0 3-0 (1pt)
I: Norway v Senegal 3-1 3-2 (1pt)
J: Argentina v Austria 3-1 2-0 (1pt)
J: Jordan v Algeria 1-3 1-2 (1pt)
K: Portugal v Uzbekistan 3-1 5-0 (1pt)
K: Colombia v Congo DR 3-1 1-0 (1pt)
L: England v Ghana 3-1 0-0 (0pts)
L: Panama v Croatia 1-3 0-1 (0pts)

Total: 1 spot-on; 18 points.


Adam

A: Czech Rep v S Africa VOID
A: Mexico v S Korea 1-1 1-0 (0pts)
B: Switzerland v Bosnia-H VOID
B: Canada v Qatar 2-0 6-0 (1pt)
C: Scotland v Morocco 2-0 0-1 (0pts)
C: Brazil v Haiti 3-0 3-0 (3pts)
D: USA v Australia 0-2 2-0 (0pts)
D: Turkey v Paraguay 2-0 0-1 (0pts)
E: Germany v Ivory Coast 2-1 2-1 (3pts)
E: Ecuador v Curacao 2-0 0-0 (0pts)
F: Netherlands v Sweden 2-0 5-1 (1pt)
F: Tunisia v Japan 0-2 0-4 (1pt)
G: Belgium v Iran 2-0 0-0 (0pts)
G: New Zealand v Egypt 0-1 1-3 (1pt)
H: Spain v Saudi Arabia 2-0 4-0 (1pt)
H: Uruguay v Cape Verde 2-0 2-2 (0pts)
I: France v Iraq 3-0 3-0 (3pts)
I: Norway v Senegal 3-1 3-2 (1pt)
J: Argentina v Austria 3-1 2-0 (1pt)
J: Jordan v Algeria 0-2 1-2 (1pt)
K: Portugal v Uzbekistan 2-0 5-0 (1pt)
K: Colombia v Congo DR 1-1 1-0 (0pts)
L: England v Ghana 2-1 0-0 (0pts)
L: Panama v Croatia 1-1 0-1 (0pts)

Total: 3 spot-ons; 18 points.


Nick

A: Czech Rep v S Africa VOID
A: Mexico v S Korea 2-2 1-0 (0pts)
B: Switzerland v Bosnia-H VOID
B: Canada v Qatar 3-0 6-0 (1pt)
C: Scotland v Morocco 1-2 0-1 (1pt)
C: Brazil v Haiti 2-0 3-0 (1pt)
D: USA v Australia 2-2 2-0 (0pts)
D: Turkey v Paraguay 2-0 0-1 (0pts)
E: Germany v Ivory Coast 2-2 2-1 (0pts)
E: Ecuador v Curacao 2-0 0-0 (0pts)
F: Netherlands v Sweden 1-1 5-1 (0pts)
F: Tunisia v Japan 1-2 0-4 (1pt)
G: Belgium v Iran 1-1 0-0 (1pt)
G: New Zealand v Egypt 0-1 1-3 (1pt)
H: Spain v Saudi Arabia 3-0 4-0 (1pt)
H: Uruguay v Cape Verde 2-0 2-2 (0pts)
I: France v Iraq 4-0 3-0 (1pt)
I: Norway v Senegal 2-1 3-2 (1pt)
J: Argentina v Austria 0-0 2-0 (0pts)
J: Jordan v Algeria 0-1 1-2 (1pt)
K: Portugal v Uzbekistan 2-0 5-0 (1pt)
K: Colombia v Congo DR 2-0 1-0 (1pt)
L: England v Ghana 3-0 0-0 (0pts)
L: Panama v Croatia 1-2 0-1 (1pt)

Total: 0 spot-ons; 13 points.


Dave

A: Czech Rep v S Africa VOID
A: Mexico v S Korea VOID
B: Switzerland v Bosnia-H VOID
B: Canada v Qatar VOID
C: Scotland v Morocco VOID
C: Brazil v Haiti VOID
D: USA v Australia VOID
D: Turkey v Paraguay VOID
E: Germany v Ivory Coast 2-3 2-1 (0pts)
E: Ecuador v Curacao 2-2 0-0 (1pt)
F: Netherlands v Sweden 4-2 5-1 (1pt)
F: Tunisia v Japan 0-3 0-4 (1pt)
G: Belgium v Iran 4-0 0-0 (0pts)
G: New Zealand v Egypt 1-3 1-3 (3pts)
H: Spain v Saudi Arabia 4-0 4-0 (5pts)
H: Uruguay v Cape Verde 2-0 2-2 (0pts)
I: France v Iraq 6-0 3-0 (1pt)
I: Norway v Senegal 3-3 3-2 (0pts)
J: Argentina v Austria 4-0 2-0 (1pt)
J: Jordan v Algeria 1-1 1-2 (0pts)
K: Portugal v Uzbekistan 2-0 5-0 (1pt)
K: Colombia v Congo DR VOID
L: England v Ghana VOID
L: Panama v Croatia VOID

Total: 2 spot-ons; 14 points.


Danny

A: Czech Rep v S Africa 1-0 1-1 (0pts)
A: Mexico v S Korea 1-1 1-0 (0pts)
B: Switzerland v Bosnia-H 2-0 4-1 (1pt)
B: Canada v Qatar 2-0 6-0 (1pt)
C: Scotland v Morocco 0-2 0-1 (1pt)
C: Brazil v Haiti 4-0 3-0 (1pt)
D: USA v Australia 2-0 2-0 (3pts)
D: Turkey v Paraguay 1-0 0-1 (0pts)
E: Germany v Ivory Coast 3-1 2-1 (1pt)
E: Ecuador v Curacao 2-0 0-0 (0pts)
F: Netherlands v Sweden 1-1 5-1 (0pts)
F: Tunisia v Japan 0-2 0-4 (1pt)
G: Belgium v Iran 3-1 0-0 (0pts)
G: New Zealand v Egypt 0-1 1-3 (1pt)
H: Spain v Saudi Arabia 3-0 4-0 (1pt)
H: Uruguay v Cape Verde 1-0 2-2 (0pts)
I: France v Iraq 5-0 3-0 (1pt)
I: Norway v Senegal 1-1 3-2 (0pts)
J: Argentina v Austria 3-1 2-0 (1pt)
J: Jordan v Algeria 0-1 1-2 (1pt)
K: Portugal v Uzbekistan 2-0 5-0 (1pt)
K: Colombia v Congo DR 2-1 1-0 (1pt)
L: England v Ghana 2-0 0-0 (0pts)
L: Panama v Croatia 0-2 0-1 (1pt)

Total: 1 spot-on; 17 points.

No comments :

Predictio Results Archive

 
google-site-verification: googlea426061006124b17.html