Friday, June 19, 2026

World Cup Predictio 2026: Group Stage Round 1

Greetings amigos,

The opening round of group games saw some managers hit their stride immediately, whilst others had a somewhat more stuttering start. Mr Moore rolled back the years to the kind of form that won him the 2018 Predictio World Cup, as he notched a hat-trick of 5-pointers amongst his 26 point haul to take an early lead. Five games in, Mr O'Callaghan boasted an astounding 80% spot-on record, which helped him produce a very impressive 24 points from the first week of the tournament. Mr Stewart-Jones continued his double-winning domestic form with a very solid 21 points, whilst Mr Crinnion will be hoping his 18 points will provide the foundation upon which he can mount a challenge for his first international honour. Elsewhere the scoring was of a more muted variety, as Mr Luke scored 16, Mr West 15, Mr McClay and Mr Raistrick 14 each, and I'm at the back of the pack on 13.

Any mistakes let me know*; the second round of games got underway yesterday, so make sure you submit predictions if you haven't done so already.

*Predictio is now officially partnered with PredictioBot, which is doing the heavy lifting on calculating scores; initial tests have shown that the odd error does creep in, so checking scores is still advised. PredictioBot also has some interesting insights based on our performance to date:


Prediction Styles:
Aggressive: Mr Moore & Mr Stewart-Jones
Often predict larger winning margins. High ceiling, high variance.
Balanced: Mr O'Callaghan, Mr Crinnion, Mr Luke & Mr Raistrick
Predict favourites but keep scores realistic. Historically this does well in long tournaments.
Conservative: Mr West, Mr McClay & Mr Watt
More likely to go for 1-0, 2-0, 2-1. Lower variance, fewer huge swings.

Who is PredictioBot backing to be on the podium after Matchday 1?
1st: Mr O'Callaghan
2nd: Mr Moore
3rd: Mr Stewart-Jones

Why Mr O'Callaghan over Mr Moore?
Mr Moore currently leads, but a large chunk of that lead comes from three exact scores worth 5 points each. Those are difficult to sustain over a whole tournament. Mr O'Callaghan has more spot-ons overall and appears to be consistently close across many fixtures. Over a long event, consistency usually beats short bursts of exact-score success.

Who is the dark horse of the tournament at this stage?
Mr Crinnion. Three exact scores already and several predictions that were only one goal away. If he improves his outcome accuracy slightly, he could challenge the leaders.



Take it easy,

Danny




                 Spot-ons        Points

Phil                   3                26
Adam                4                24
SJ                     3                21
Nick                  3                18
Theo L              2                16
Theo W            1                15
Dave                1                 14
Ben                  0                 14
Danny              1                 13


Adam

A: Mexico v S Africa 2-0  2-0 (3pts)
A: S Korea v Czech Rep 2-1  2-1 (3pts)
B: Canada v Bosnia-H 1-1  1-1 (3pts)
B: Qatar v Switzerland 0-2  1-1 (0pts)
C: Brazil v Morocco 1-1  1-1 (3pts)
C: Haiti v Scotland 0-2  0-1 (1pt)
D: USA v Paraguay 1-1  4-1 (0pts)
D: Australia v Turkey 0-1  2-0 (0pts)
E: Germany v Curacao 2-0  7-1 (1pt)
E: Ivory Coast v Ecuador 2-0  1-0 (1pt)
F: Netherlands v Japan 1-2  2-2 (0pts)
F: Sweden v Tunisia 1-0  5-1 (1pt)
G: Belgium v Egypt 2-1  1-1 (0pts)
G: Iran v New Zealand 0-0  2-2 (1pt)
H: Spain v Cape Verde 2-0  0-0 (0pts)
H: Saudi Arabia v Uruguay 0-2  1-1 (0pts)
I: France v Senegal 1-0  3-1 (1pt)
I: Iraq v Norway 0-2  1-4 (1pt)
J: Argentina v Algeria 2-0  3-0 (1pt)
J: Austria v Jordan 1-0  3-1 (1pt)
K: Portugal v Congo DR 3-1  1-1 (0pts)
K: Uzbekistan v Colombia 0-2  1-3 (1pt)
L: England v Croatia 1-0  4-2 (1pt)
L: Ghana v Panama 2-0  1-0 (1pt)

Total: 4 spot-ons; 24 points.


Theo W

A: Mexico v S Africa 2-1  2-0 (1pt)
A: S Korea v Czech Rep 1-1  2-1 (0pts)
B: Canada v Bosnia-H 2-0  1-1 (0pts)
B: Qatar v Switzerland 0-2  1-1 (0pts)
C: Brazil v Morocco 2-1  1-1 (0pts)
C: Haiti v Scotland 0-3  0-1 (1pt)
D: USA v Paraguay 1-1  4-1 (0pts)
D: Australia v Turkey 1-1  2-0 (0pts)
E: Germany v Curacao 5-0  7-1 (1pt)
E: Ivory Coast v Ecuador 1-2  1-0 (0pts)
F: Netherlands v Japan 2-2  2-2 (5pts)
F: Sweden v Tunisia 0-0  5-1 (0pts)
G: Belgium v Egypt 1-0  1-1 (0pts)
G: Iran v New Zealand 2-0  2-2 (0pts)
H: Spain v Cape Verde 4-0 0-0 (0pts)
H: Saudi Arabia v Uruguay 1-2 1-1 (0pts)
I: France v Senegal 2-1 3-1 (1pt)
I: Iraq v Norway 0-2 1-4 (1pt)
J: Argentina v Algeria 1-0 3-0 (1pt)
J: Austria v Jordan 2-0 3-1 (1pt)
K: Portugal v Congo DR 3-1 1-1 (0pts)
K: Uzbekistan v Colombia 0-2 1-3 (1pt)
L: England v Croatia 2-0 4-2 (1pt)
L: Ghana v Panama 2-1 1-0 (1pt)

Total: 1 spot-on; 15 points.


Nick

A: Mexico v S Africa 2-0  2-0 (3pts)
A: S Korea v Czech Rep 1-1  2-1 (0pts)
B: Canada v Bosnia-H 1-1  1-1 (3pts)
B: Qatar v Switzerland 0-1  1-1 (0pts)
C: Brazil v Morocco 2-2  1-1 (1pt)
C: Haiti v Scotland 0-1  0-1 (3pts)
D: USA v Paraguay 1-1  4-1 (0pts)
D: Australia v Turkey 0-2  2-0 (0pts)
E: Germany v Curacao 3-0  7-1 (1pt)
E: Ivory Coast v Ecuador 2-1  1-0 (1pt)
F: Netherlands v Japan 0-1  2-2 (0pts)
F: Sweden v Tunisia 1-1  5-1 (0pts)
G: Belgium v Egypt 1-2  1-1 (0pts)
G: Iran v New Zealand 0-0  2-2 (1pt)
H: Spain v Cape Verde 2-0  0-0 (0pts)
H: Saudi Arabia v Uruguay 0-2  1-1 (0pts)
I: France v Senegal 1-1  3-1 (0pts)
I: Iraq v Norway 0-1  1-4 (1pt)
J: Argentina v Algeria 2-2  3-0 (0pts)
J: Austria v Jordan 2-0  3-1 (1pt)
K: Portugal v Congo DR 0-0 1-1 (1pt)
K: Uzbekistan v Colombia 0-0 1-3 (0pts)
L: England v Croatia 2-0 4-2 (1pt)
L: Ghana v Panama 2-1 1-0 (1pt)

Total: 3 spot-ons; 18 points.


SJ

A: Mexico v S Africa 3-1  2-0 (1pt)
A: S Korea v Czech Rep 1-0  2-1 (1pt)
B: Canada v Bosnia-H 1-1  1-1 (3pts)
B: Qatar v Switzerland 0-3  1-1 (0pts)
C: Brazil v Morocco 1-1  1-1 (3pts)
C: Haiti v Scotland 1-2  0-1 (1pt)
D: USA v Paraguay 1-1  4-1 (0pts)
D: Australia v Turkey 0-2  2-0 (0pts)
E: Germany v Curacao 6-0  7-1 (1pt)
E: Ivory Coast v Ecuador 1-1  1-0 (0pts)
F: Netherlands v Japan 1-1  2-2 (1pt)
F: Sweden v Tunisia 1-0  5-1 (1pt)
G: Belgium v Egypt 2-0  1-1 (0pts)
G: Iran v New Zealand 2-1  2-2 (0pts)
H: Spain v Cape Verde 4-0  0-0 (0pts)
H: Saudi Arabia v Uruguay 0-2  1-1 (0pts)
I: France v Senegal 2-0  3-1 (1pt)
I: Iraq v Norway 0-5  1-4 (1pt)
J: Argentina v Algeria 3-0  3-0 (3pts)
J: Austria v Jordan 2-0  3-1 (1pt)
K: Portugal v Congo DR 2-0  1-1 (0pts)
K: Uzbekistan v Colombia 1-2  1-3 (1pt)
L: England v Croatia 1-0  4-2 (1pt)
L: Ghana v Panama 2-1  1-0 (1pt)

Total: 3 spot-ons; 21 points.


Phil

A: Mexico v S Africa 3-1  2-0 (1pt)
A: S Korea v Czech Rep 1-0  2-1 (1pt)
B: Canada v Bosnia-H 1-3  1-1 (0pts)
B: Qatar v Switzerland 1-3  1-1 (0pts)
C: Brazil v Morocco 4-1  1-1 (0pts)
C: Haiti v Scotland 1-3  0-1 (1pt)
D: USA v Paraguay 3-1  4-1 (1pt)
D: Australia v Turkey 3-1  2-0 (1pt)
E: Germany v Curacao 4-0  7-1 (1pt)
E: Ivory Coast v Ecuador 1-2  1-0 (0pts)
F: Netherlands v Japan 3-1 2-2 (0pts)
F: Sweden v Tunisia 3-1  5-1 (1pt)
G: Belgium v Egypt 3-1  1-1 (0pts)
G: Iran v New Zealand 1-3  2-2 (0pts)
H: Spain v Cape Verde 3-1  0-0 (0pts)
H: Saudi Arabia v Uruguay 1-3  1-1 (0pts)
I: France v Senegal 3-1  3-1 (5pts)
I: Iraq v Norway 1-3  1-4 (1pt)
J: Argentina v Algeria 4-1  3-0 (1pt)
J: Austria v Jordan 3-1  3-1 (5pts)
K: Portugal v Congo DR 3-1  1-1 (0pts)
K: Uzbekistan v Colombia 1-3  1-3 (5pts)
L: England v Croatia 3-1  4-2 (1pt)
L: Ghana v Panama 3-1  1-0 (1pt)

Total: 3 spot-ons; 26 points.


Ben

A: Mexico v S Africa 3-1  2-0 (1pt)
A: S Korea v Czech Rep 2-2  2-1 (0pts)
B: Canada v Bosnia-H 1-0  1-1 (0pts)
B: Qatar v Switzerland 0-2  1-1 (0pts)
C: Brazil v Morocco 3-1  1-1 (0pts)
C: Haiti v Scotland 0-2  0-1 (1pt)
D: USA v Paraguay 2-1  4-1 (1pt)
D: Australia v Turkey 1-2  2-0 (0pts)
E: Germany v Curacao 5-0  7-1 (1pt)
E: Ivory Coast v Ecuador 2-1  1-0 (1pt)
F: Netherlands v Japan 2-1  2-2 (0pts)
F: Sweden v Tunisia 1-0  5-1 (1pt)
G: Belgium v Egypt 2-1  1-1 (0pts)
G: Iran v New Zealand 1-1  2-2 (1pt)
H: Spain v Cape Verde 3-1  0-0 (0pts)
H: Saudi Arabia v Uruguay 1-2  1-1 (0pts)
I: France v Senegal 2-1  3-1 (1pt)
I: Iraq v Norway 0-2  1-4 (1pt)
J: Argentina v Algeria 3-1  3-0 (1pt)
J: Austria v Jordan 3-0  3-1 (1pt)
K: Portugal v Congo DR 1-0  1-1 (0pts)
K: Uzbekistan v Colombia 0-3  1-3 (1pt)
L: England v Croatia 2-1  4-2 (1pt)
L: Ghana v Panama 2-0  1-0 (1pt)

Total: 0 spot-ons; 14 points.


Dave

A: Mexico v S Africa 1-0  2-0 (1pt)
A: S Korea v Czech Rep 2-2  2-1 (0pts)
B: Canada v Bosnia-H 0-0  1-1 (1pt)
B: Qatar v Switzerland 0-1  1-1 (0pts)
C: Brazil v Morocco 2-2  1-1 (1pt)
C: Haiti v Scotland 0-2  0-1 (1pt)
D: USA v Paraguay 1-1  4-1 (0pts)
D: Australia v Turkey 2-2  2-0 (0pts)
E: Germany v Curacao 6-0  7-1 (1pt)
E: Ivory Coast v Ecuador 1-2  1-0 (0pts)
F: Netherlands v Japan 2-1  2-2 (0pts)
F: Sweden v Tunisia 0-1  5-1 (0pts)
G: Belgium v Egypt 1-2  1-1 (0pts)
G: Iran v New Zealand 0-0  2-2 (1pt)
H: Spain v Cape Verde 4-0  0-0 (0pts)
H: Saudi Arabia v Uruguay 2-3  1-1 (0pts)
I: France v Senegal 3-1  3-1 (5pts)
I: Iraq v Norway 1-1  1-4 (0pts)
J: Argentina v Algeria 2-1  3-0 (1pt)
J: Austria v Jordan 1-1  3-1 (0pts)
K: Portugal v Congo DR 3-0  1-1 (0pts)
K: Uzbekistan v Colombia 0-2  1-3 (1pt)
L: England v Croatia 1-1  4-2 (0pts)
L: Ghana v Panama 2-0  1-0 (1pt)

Total: 1 spot-on; 14 points.


Theo L

A: Mexico v S Africa 2-0  2-0 (3pts)
A: S Korea v Czech Rep 2-1  2-1 (3pts)
B: Canada v Bosnia-H 2-0  1-1 (0pts)
B: Qatar v Switzerland 0-2  1-1 (0pts)
C: Brazil v Morocco 2-1  1-1 (0pts)
C: Haiti v Scotland 0-2  0-1 (1pt)
D: USA v Paraguay 2-1  4-1 (1pt)
D: Australia v Turkey 1-1  2-0 (0pts)
E: Germany v Curacao 5-0  7-1 (1pt)
E: Ivory Coast v Ecuador 1-1  1-0 (0pts)
F: Netherlands v Japan 2-1  2-2 (0pts)
F: Sweden v Tunisia 1-0  5-1 (1pt)
G: Belgium v Egypt 3-1  1-1 (0pts)
G: Iran v New Zealand 3-0  2-2 (0pts)
H: Spain v Cape Verde 4-0  0-0 (0pts)
H: Saudi Arabia v Uruguay 0-2  1-1 (0pts)
I: France v Senegal 2-1  3-1 (1pt)
I: Iraq v Norway 0-2  1-4 (1pt)
J: Argentina v Algeria 3-1  3-0 (1pt)
J: Austria v Jordan 2-0  3-1 (1pt)
K: Portugal v Congo DR 4-0  1-1 (0pts)
K: Uzbekistan v Colombia 0-3  1-3 (1pt)
L: England v Croatia 2-1  4-2 (1pt)
L: Ghana v Panama 0-2  1-0 (0pts)

Total: 2 spot-ons; 16 points.


Danny

A: Mexico v S Africa 2-0  2-0 (3pts)
A: S Korea v Czech Rep 1-2  2-1 (0pts)
B: Canada v Bosnia-H 2-1  1-1 (0pts)
B: Qatar v Switzerland 0-2  1-1 (0pts)
C: Brazil v Morocco 2-1  1-1 (0pts)
C: Haiti v Scotland 0-2  0-1 (1pt)
D: USA v Paraguay 2-1  4-1 (1pt)
D: Australia v Turkey 1-2  2-0 (0pts)
E: Germany v Curacao 5-0  7-1 (1pt)
E: Ivory Coast v Ecuador 1-1  1-0 (0pts)
F: Netherlands v Japan 2-1  2-2 (0pts)
F: Sweden v Tunisia 1-1  5-1 (0pts)
G: Belgium v Egypt 2-0  1-1 (0pts)
G: Iran v New Zealand 2-0  2-2 (0pts)
H: Spain v Cape Verde 3-0  0-0 (0pts)
H: Saudi Arabia v Uruguay 0-2  1-1 (0pts)
I: France v Senegal 2-1  3-1 (1pt)
I: Iraq v Norway 0-2  1-4 (1pt)
J: Argentina v Algeria 2-0  3-0 (1pt)
J: Austria v Jordan 3-0  3-1 (1pt)
K: Portugal v Congo DR 3-1  1-1 (0pts)
K: Uzbekistan v Colombia 0-2  1-3 (1pt)
L: England v Croatia 2-1  4-2 (1pt)
L: Ghana v Panama 2-0  1-0 (1pt)

Total: 1 spot-on; 13 points.

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