World Cup Predictio: Quarter-Finals

Greetings amigos,

As the World Cup has four remaining teams who can lift the trophy, the Predictio World Cup looks to have only one winner. Mr Stewart-Jones' dominance of the game looks to continue in the international arena, as he had an astonishingly impressive round in the quarter-finals. SJ notched 2 spot-ons and correctly predicted that none of the games would go to penalties, which secured a huge 14 points and opened up what must surely be an unassailable 7 point advantage with just 4 games of the tournament to go. Stranger things have happened, but Mr O'Callaghan (who scored 4 points this time around) looks to be the only manager who could topple our current leader, and it would take a truly remarkable last effort to achieve such a feat. Elsewhere Mr Luke scored 8, Mr Moore 7, Mr West 6, Mr Raistrick and Mr Crinnion 4, and I scored 2.

Any mistakes let me know, fixtures sent earlier today.

Take it easy,

Danny

PredictioBot musings:

Win probability: SJ (68%), Adam (24%), Danny (3%), Phil (2%), Theo L (2%), Ben (>1%), Theo W (>1%), Nick (0%), Dave (0%)

Key talking points

• SJ has completely flipped the tournament. A superb quarter-final round (14 points) turns a three-point deficit into a seven-point lead over Adam.
• Adam had his quietest knockout round and now has work to do over the final four matches.
• Danny's bold strategy didn't pay off. He only gained two points and has fallen 15 points behind the leader, making the title a very difficult proposition.
• Phil and Theo L are tied on 92 points, but both are now 17 points adrift with only the semi-finals, third-place play-off and final remaining.
• Barring something extraordinary, the championship is now realistically between SJ and Adam, with everyone else needing an exceptional finish and significant mistakes from the top two.

Theo L

France v Morocco 3-2  2-0 (1pt)
Spain v Belgium 2-0  2-1 (1pt)
Norway v England 1-2  1-1 (0pts)
Argentina v Switzerland 2-1  1-1 (0pts)

Total: 0 spot-ons; 2 points.
Pens Bonus: 6 points.


Adam

France v Morocco 2-2 Pens  2-0 (0pts)
Spain v Belgium 2-0  2-1 (1pt)
Norway v England 1-2  1-1 (0pts)
Argentina v Switzerland 2-0  1-1 (0pts)

Total: 0 spot-ons; 1 point.
Pens Bonus: 3 points.


Ben

France v Morocco 3-1  2-0 (1pt)
Spain v Belgium 0-0 Pens  2-1 (0pts)
Norway v England 1-2  1-1 (0pts)
Argentina v Switzerland 2-1  1-1 (0pts)

Total: 0 spot-ons; 1 point.
Pens Bonus: 3 points.


Nick

France v Morocco 2-2 Pens  2-0 (0pts)
Spain v Belgium 3-0  2-1 (1pt)
Norway v England 1-3  1-1 (0pts)
Argentina v Switzerland 0-1  1-1 (0pts)

Total: 0 spot-ons; 1 point.
Pens Bonus: 3 points.


SJ

France v Morocco 3-1  2-0 (1pt)
Spain v Belgium 2-0  2-1 (1pt)
Norway v England 1-1  1-1 (3pts)
Argentina v Switzerland 1-1  1-1 (3pts)

Total: 2 spot-ons; 8 points.
Pens Bonus: 6 points.


Theo W

France v Morocco Void
Spain v Belgium 2-2  2-1 (0pts)
Norway v England 0-2  1-1 (0pts)
Argentina v Switzerland 1-1 Pens  1-1 (3pts)

Total: 1 spot-on; 3 points.
Pens Bonus: 3 points.


Phil

France v Morocco Void
Spain v Belgium 3-1  2-1 (1pt)
Norway v England 1-3  1-1 (0pts)
Argentina v Switzerland 3-1  1-1 (0pts)

Total: 0 spot-ons; 1 point.
Pens Bonus: 6 points.


Danny

France v Morocco  2-1 Pens  2-0 (1pt)
Spain v Belgium  1-0  2-1 (1pt)
Norway v England  1-3  1-1 (0pts)
Argentina v Switzerland 1-0 Pens  1-1 (0pts)

Total: 0 spot-ons; 2 points.
Pens Bonus: 0 points.